Jacked Up Picks: Week 4

Posted by Jack Tumen

Rich Schultz/Getty Images

Rich Schultz/Getty Images

I bounced back nicely last weekend, going 10-6 in my picks. That puts me at 17-15 on the season. I’ll try to keep the hot streak going into week four.

Bye Week: Cardinals (3-0), Bengals (3-0), Browns (1-2), Broncos (2-1), Rams (1-2), Seahawks (2-1)

Giants (1-2) @ Redskins (1-2): We’ve got another Thursday night thriller on our hands…The Giants’ offense finally got going last Sunday against the Clowney-less Texans. Washington’s answer at quarterback has been under its nose since the season began; Kirk Cousins is ready to run with this job and never look back. He’s got another plus matchup against New York’s 22nd-ranked defense.

WAS 29, NYG 19

Bills (2-1) @ Texans (2-1): Both teams are coming off their first losses of the season. Buffalo’s a grittier team than most initially thought. Houston allowed one of the league’s most anemic offenses to get going on them. I’m giving Buffalo the edge against a defense that allowed Rashad Jennings to rush for 176 yards on them. Neither team will likely finish above .500.

BUF 24, HOU 20

Panthers (2-1) @ Ravens (2-1): This is a fairly even matchup. Carolina finally looked like the team I predicted them to be this season, struggling to move the ball while Cam took multiple shots behind that patchwork offensive line. Baltimore managed to squeeze out a dub against the upstart Browns. Losing Dennis Pitta puts a major damper on Baltimore’s plans, but the Ravens are simply the better team.

BAL 26, CAR 18

Packers (1-2) @ Bears (2-1): What happened to Green Bay’s offense? The Packers could only scrounge up seven points against Detroit and people are starting to scratch their cheese heads. Chicago’s defense made enough plays to secure a “W” versus the Jets but their offense wasn’t exactly spectacular. This is a classic rivalry that always produces a good game. I’m taking the Packers to get back on track.

GB 28, CHI 24

Lions (2-1) @ Jets (1-2): Through three weeks of play, Detroit and New York are the league’s two best defenses. Both teams put up 19 points last weekend and struggled to find consistency on offense. Both quarterbacks threw two picks against below-average secondaries. It’s not gonna be a pretty game but I’m standing behind the Jets to tough it out at home.

NYJ 26, DET 23

Titans (1-2) @ Colts (1-2): Tennessee couldn’t stop a nose bleed against the Bengals. Andrew Luck remembered how to win to the tune of 31/39, 370 yards and 4 TDs. Indy’s defense isn’t exactly stellar; but in this matchup of top-10 QBs, it’s not hard to figure out which one is the superior passer.

IND 27, TEN 13

Dolphins (1-2) @ Raiders (0-3) [Game in London]: There’s been rumblings this week about Ryan Tannehill’s job security, followed by Joe Philbin’s; just as I predicted. Oakland somehow managed to hang around with the Patriots and if it weren’t for a highly questionable holding call, the Raiders had the tie and then who knows what. Amidst the turmoil, I’m taking Derek Carr to lead Oakland to its first victory in what will be the beginning of the end for Miami. They’re still winless in America, though.

OAK 17, MIA 13

Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

Buccaneers (0-3) @ Steelers (2-1): This has “trap game” written all over it. Tampa Bay is coming off 10 days rest and should be getting back Doug Martin and Gerald McCoy. Mike Glennon will get the start and has much more chemistry with Vincent Jackson from a year ago than Josh McCown has been able to find this year. On top of that, Pittsburgh is reeling on defense, losing Ryan Shazier, Jarvis Jones and Ike Taylor to multi-week injuries. For that reason, James Harrison is back in town but I don’t think that will be much of a factor. The Bucs get on the board after last week’s embarrassing loss.

TB 24, PIT 21

Jaguars (0-3) @ Chargers (2-1): San Diego overcame a long trip out east to hand Buffalo its first loss. We finally saw Blake Bortles get his first taste of NFL action in relief of Chad Henne. Jacksonville is now the team making the long trip to the west coast and they don’t have a favorable matchup against a top-10 defense. Jacksonville shouldn’t be this bad for much longer but the Jaguars won’t find their first win in SoCal.

SD 30, JAX 13

Falcons (2-1) @ Vikings (1-2): Don’t expect a repeat performance of Atlanta’s 56-point thrashing of the Bucs from last Thursday. Minnesota’s defense ranks 11th in the league and they’ll be giving Matt Ryan and co. a run for their money. With Matt Cassel headed to I.R., Teddy Bridgewater will make his first NFL start and has a favorable matchup against Atlanta’s 27th ranked defense. Just when we think we know who the Falcons are…we don’t.

MIN 25, ATL 22

Eagles (3-0) @ 49ers (1-2): This is where things get interesting. I nailed my 49ers pick last week, giving them 14 points in a divisional loss against Arizona. They’ve now dropped two in a row; albeit to two good teams. Philly came back from double-digit deficits in each of their first three games to start the season. The Eagles are flying high but with a decimated offensive line, this is where the 9ers make their move. I’ve picked against Philly for two straight weeks – they’re bound to lose eventually, right?

SF 27, PHI 24

Saints (1-2) @ Cowboys (2-1): The Saints can finally take a breath after securing their first victory. Tony Romo had to win a shootout with Austin Davis. Morris Claiborne stormed out of the team facility this week after being demoted and publicly doubted by Jerry Jones. Drew Brees is licking his chops at this primetime matchup.

NO 34, DAL 21

Patriots (2-1) @ Chiefs (1-2): The Patriots played down to the Raiders at home and should really be more embarrassed than anything. Kansas City found its offense on the road against a fairly good defense. The Chiefs have one of the best home crowds in football and it’ll be a massive advantage on Monday night. That said, I’m taking Tom Brady to make it work with some help from his third ranked defense.

NE 20, KC 16

Next week: Game Picks + Quarterly Report

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