Jacked Up Picks: Week 12

Posted by Jack Tumen

bills-hiring-shovels-snowstorm1

I only went 8-6 last week; but one of my wins was St. Louis over Denver. I’m 86-59 after Thursday.

Bye weeks: Panthers (3-7-1), Steelers (7-4)

Browns (6-4) @ Falcons (4-6): One week, Cleveland’s first place in the AFC North; the next week, they’re on the outside looking in. Josh Gordon’s return is as timely as ever as he gets to warm up with Atlanta’s garbage secondary. The Falcons are inexplicably leading the NFC South at 4-6 as Matt Ryan has been able to get the job done on a two game winning streak. The Browns come off an embarrassing loss at home to Houston; but their division is much tougher and they’re a more seasoned team at this point in the season. Cleveland gets the road win – but not by much. CLE 24, ATL 21

Buccaneers (2-8) @ Bears (4-6): Tampa is somehow still in their divisional race which speaks to the quality of the NFC South this year. Chicago found its feet after grinding out a win last week against the Vikings. They get the friendly confines of home once again; and despite the Bucs’ whipping of the Redskins last week, I’m going with the Bears to take care of business. CHI 26, TB 19

Bengals (6-3-1) @ Texans (5-5): Both teams come off strong road wins. Houston’s still fighting for a wild card spot while Cinci’s trying to tighten it’s grip on the AFC North lead. Ryan Mallet’s first touchdown pass was to none other than J.J. Watt. That’s most likely not Houston’s recipe for success; and if Arian Foster can’t go again, it could be tough for Houston to make big plays against an improving Bengals’ defense. However, I don’t like the matchup in general for Cinci. HOU 26, CIN 24

Lions (7-3) @ Patriots (8-2): What a tough stretch for Detroit. The Lions fell to the well-coached Cardinals on the road and now have to face the well-coached Patriots in Foxborough. This is that time of year when I think the wheels start falling off for the team from the Motor City. Wrong-place-wrong-time for Jim Caldwell and co. NE 35, DET 21

Packers (7-3) @ Vikings (4-6): Divisional games are fairly competitive this time of year. However, it’s hard to fathom that the Vikings could slow down a team as hot as the Packers right now. Home-field could sway a ball or two for Minnesota but don’t expect the big upset to happen here. GB 33, MIN 20

Jaguars (1-9) @ Colts (6-4): After a tough primetime loss to Tom Brady, Andrew Luck gets a nice cushy matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Coming off the bye, they might have a decent game plan to slowing down the Colts’ offense; but stopping them is a different story. IND 28, JAX 13

Titans (2-8) @ Eagles (7-3): Tennessee gave the Steelers their best fight on Monday night; it still wasn’t enough. Philly comes home after Aaron Rodgers did his thing against them and should be ready to rebound as they prepare for death row with Dallas-Seattle-Dallas coming up on the schedule. PHI 29, TEN 20

Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

Rams (4-6) @ Chargers (6-4): San Diego is not a very convincing team at this point of the season. They have a real gut check coming up at home against a Rams team that took care of Peyton Manning and the Broncos last Sunday. I think the Rams put a lot of effort into last week’s win and because of that I’ll give San Diego an unconfident edge at home. SD 27, STL 23

Cardinals (9-1) @ Seahawks (6-4): This game is more-or-less the season for Seattle. A fifth loss puts them at a severe disadvantage in the NFC playoff race and they need this win more than anything. Unfortunately, they have to go through the best team in the NFL to do so. The bright side? They get them at home. After a close loss to KC, Seattle wills themselves to a victory at home to keep their playoff hopes alive. SEA 23, AZ 20

Dolphins (6-4) @ Broncos (7-3): With a tough Miami team coming off a win and with Denver in a bit of a lull, the Dolphins are a popular pick this week. Not so fast. This game is being played in Denver and to be honest, these two teams are on different levels. The Broncos get back on track at home as Miami’s hot streak comes to an end. DEN 28, MIA 20

Redskins (3-7) @ 49ers (6-4): This is a nice soft game for San Fran. Washington just isn’t nearly as physical as the 49ers are and should get stomped. Jay Gruden’s shots at RGIII through the media have been fairly comical. Not that I disagree with anything he’s said. In fact, I completely agree with all of it. He’s in a bad position as a head coach with an injured and babied quarterback and an owner that traded his franchise to get him. SF 27, WAS 6

Cowboys (7-3) @ Giants (3-7): After a week off in which the Eagles failed to get a leg up in the division, Dallas finds themselves a tasty matchup with the Giants. DeMarco Murray and the league’s best rushing attack get to face the league’s worst rushing defense. After tossing five picks last week, there aren’t too many places for Eli Manning to turn at this point in the season. DAL 34, NYG 23

Jets (2-8) @ Bills (5-5) [From Detroit]: This game has been a national story all week. The Bills lost a lot of practice time and after a bad loss to Miami they have to play the Jets who are coming off a bye. With nothing to lose at this point, New York has every advantage they could want in this game – whether it’s practice time or the fact that the game isn’t even in Buffalo. NYJ 20, BUF 16

Ravens (6-4) @ Saints (4-6): The Saints have never lost three straight games at home under Sean Payton. They’ll try to avoid that fate Monday night against a tough Ravens team coming off the bye. A loss for either team puts them behind in their respective divisional races. The Ravens are a better team this year and New Orleans probably doesn’t have the defense to get the job done – but I’m taking Drew Brees to rally the troops in a Monday night thriller. NO 30, BAL 27

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