nfl game picks

Jacked Up Picks: Week 15

Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images

Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images

Posted by Jack Tumen

After a strong 12-3 record last week, I’m 120-71-1 overall.

Packers (10-3) @ Bills (7-6): This is a potential trap game for the Packers after Buffalo quietly lost to Denver by only a touchdown last week. The Bills can’t afford a loss if they want to stay in the hunt but Green Bay is simply too tall a task for the Bills to overcome, even at home. GB 27, BUF 24

Jaguars (2-11) @ Ravens (8-5): Baltimore is accustomed to taking care of business at this time of year. Jacksonville is an easy team to overlook but don’t expect the Ravens to let their guard down as they remain in the fight for the AFC North crown. BAL 28, JAX 16

Bengals (8-4-1) @ Browns (7-6): This excellent division showcases the battle for Ohio; one that Cleveland took the first time around. This time, the Brownies will have Johnny Football under center as he makes his first career start. I was right about Mike Pettine not making any QB changes for the majority of the season as this was unquestionably Hoyer’s team throughout; but with his dreadful play recently, a switch was in order as Cleveland’s playoff hopes dwindle. The Bengals’ D has a plus-matchup against a first-time starter. CIN 26, CLE 18

Buccaneers (2-11) @ Panthers (4-8-1): The Panthers are still in the running for the NFC South title, which is hard to believe. Derek Anderson starts this week in the wake of Cam Newton’s car accident. Anderson’s only other start this season was in week one – against Tampa Bay. Carolina won that game on the road; expect similar results at home. CAR 28, TB 21

Texans (7-6) @ Colts (9-4): Houston runs into one of the toughest opponents its schedule has to offer this season against their rival Colts. Andrew Luck showed true greatness last week in Cleveland, engineering a comeback win in the final moments. I expect their offense to explode this week as Houston won’t be able to score enough points to keep up. IND 34, HOU 24

Raiders (2-11) @ Chiefs (7-6): Kansas City’s loosening their grip on the Wildcard at the wrong time. After dropping a huge game in Oakland a couple weeks ago, the Raiders come into town for another bout. I expect the Chiefs to take care of business this time; but it might be too little too late. KC 27, OAK 21

Dolphins (7-6) @ Patriots (10-3): Miami beat the Pats way back in week one but the scripts are different now. The Dolphins let Baltimore come into their house last week and push them down the Wildcard standings as Miami’s late-season play has taken a dip. Wrong-place-wrong-time going into New England for the Fins. NE 35, MIA 24

Redskins (3-10) @ Giants (4-9): Washington has reached a new level of dysfunction. Facing one of the least dysfunctional teams in the league this week will put that into even more perspective. NYG 23, WAS 9

Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

Steelers (8-5) @ Falcons (5-8): Atlanta certainly gave the Packers a fight on Monday night but dreadful defense continued to be the story of the year for the Dirty Birds. Pittsburgh’s attack has been fairly two-faced this season, with spurts of offensive explosion at times while also becoming stagnant at others. The Steelers have amazingly had trouble with the NFC South this season and I think their inconsistencies show once again in the Georgia Dome. ATL 33, PIT 27

Broncos (10-3) @ Chargers (8-5): San Diego is a fighting squad and will need to put last Sunday’s loss to New England behind them. It’s a brutal stretch for the Bolts and I just don’t think they have the overall balance to defeat the rolling Broncos. DEN 29, SD 24

Jets (2-11) @ Titans (2-11): Both teams are vying for a top-five pick and will both be looking to draft Marcus Mariota or James Winston. At this moment, the Jets are the better team, if that’s even saying anything. NYJ 19, TEN 10

Vikings (6-7) @ Lions (9-4): This is a danger-zone for Detroit. The Vikings are a feisty squad and would love nothing more than to knock the Lions from the playoff race. Detroit has been very consistent this year on both sides of the ball and Minnesota will need to make some big plays if the want to pull the road upset. But after barely beating the Jets last week, I don’t have enough confidence in the Purple People Leaders to pick them. DET 26, MIN 23

49ers (7-6) @ Seahawks (9-4): This could be the end of the line for San Fran. The 9ers have looked as bad as they ever have in the Jim Harbaugh era and have a true test of character coming up against the Seahawks. Russell Wilson has turned Seattle’s ship around and this team is playing championship football again. Colin Kaepernick has been miserable the last month and will be heavily exploited this week if he doesn’t return to 2012 form. SEA 29, SF 23

Cowboys (9-4) @ Eagles (9-4): This one’s for all the marbles in the NFC East. Dallas needs to find a way to change their game plan after getting run out of their own building on Thanksgiving. The Eagles had a tough outing against the soaring Seahawks so they get a pass for their performance last week. I just don’t think that this is a good matchup in general for Dallas; they’ve been able to mask their defensive deficiencies all season by playing superb offense but the Eagles exploit that quite well. PHI 27, DAL 23

Saints (5-8) @ Bears (5-8): Two of the NFC’s biggest disappointments face off in this one. The only catch is the Saints are still fighting for the division title. Both defenses have been putrid this year so it should be a relatively high-scoring game. The difference could be home-field in this one. New Orleans’ defense has no confidence after letting Carolina plow them over for 41 points last week. Bears by a smidge. CHI 34, NO 31

Jacked Up Picks: Week 14

Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

Posted by Jack Tumen

The playoff race gets tighter each week as I try to improve my overall record. After picking Dallas on Thursday, I’m 108-67-1 on the year.

Ravens (7-5) @ Dolphins (7-5): This is one of the biggest games of the week as far as the AFC Wild Card is concerned. Miami looked dreadful on Monday but was able to overcome nearly 300 yards rushing from the Jets to stay in it. Baltimore on the other hand couldn’t hold off the Chargers in a heartbreaking loss at home. Going into Miami will be a good litmus test for this Ravens’ squad to see if they’re ready for meaningful December football. I think they can play with a short memory and get the job done even without Haloti Ngata. BAL 26, MIA 24

Colts (8-4) @ Browns (7-5): The Browns are on shaky ground right now with their quarterback situation suddenly in question at the worst possible time. This would be a very different team with Johnny Manziel inserted at quarterback and I think it’s dangerously late in the season to change the winning formula with four weeks to go. They’ll have to face the music this week when the surging Colts come marching in. We might see the Browns’ true colors this week. IND 30, CLE 20

Panthers (3-8-1) @ Saints (5-7): The Saints finally came through on the road last week and get to come back home to face the reeling Panthers. At this point in the season, it’s hard to think Carolina brings anything to the table, even in a divisional game. New Orleans took care of them earlier this season and I don’t see the Panthers returning the favor. NO 31, CAR 16

Steelers (7-5) @ Bengals (8-3-1): Pittsburgh blew a major opportunity at home last week against an inferior NFC South opponent and can’t be feeling good about themselves right now. It’s not out of the question to think Mike Tomlin could get canned after the season but right now he has to focus on going into the jungle to face the division-leading Bengals – who also struggled with their NFC South opponent last week. This is always a hard-nose game; but I think Pittsburgh’s defensive lapses at home last week were far too glaring for a three-loss Bengal team to not take advantage at home. CIN 25, PIT 23

Buccaneers (2-10) @ Lions (8-4): Tampa Bay played a nice game last week; nearly pulling off the upset over Cinci. Unfortunately, Detroit is a different animal, particularly at home. DET 29, TB 17

Texans (6-6) @ Jaguars (2-10): After tossing six TD passes last week, Ryan Fitzpatrick may have Bill O’Brien wishing he hadn’t sacrificed a couple games to a first-time starter in Ryan Mallett. The rout was on against the inferior Titans and Jacksonville is in that bottom tier of the AFC with Tennessee. The Jaguars were able to beat the Giants last week but I think a “winning streak” might be out of the question for these cats. HOU 24, JAX 10

Jets (2-10) @ Vikings (5-7): Minnesota’s quietly getting it done this year with a young team a rookie head coach. Although 5-7 isn’t a playoff record, it’s a sign of progress for a rebuilding franchise. The Jets essentially played without a quarterback last week, rushing as they pleased but failing to do anything through the air. Minnesota’s been a tough outing at home this year and they’ll do what’s necessary to win as defensive minds Mike Zimmer and Rex Ryan face off. MIN 23, NYJ 19

Giants (3-9) @ Titans (2-10): This game comes from the NFL’s basement this week. Just a combined five wins this season, these two teams have been dreadful all year. Losing to Jacksonville last week was a new low for the Giants, who are in danger of dropping back-to-back games to the AFC’s worst. This game’s a true toss-up but injuries to the Titans’ receiving corps drop Zach Mettenberger’s stock a bit. JPP could be the difference-maker. NYG 17, TEN 10

Tom Pennington/Getty Images

Tom Pennington/Getty Images

Rams (5-7) @ Redskins (3-9): St. Louis will come into Washington laughing in the face of the team that gave up their franchise for RGIII while the Rams continue using those picks to build a superb roster. This one will be ugly. STL 30, WAS 15

Bills (7-5) @ Broncos (9-3): Here we are in December and the Buffalo Bills are as close to the playoffs at this point in the season as they’ve been in recent memory. Unfortunately, Denver is not the team you want to face right now but Buffalo will play this one closer than people think. In fact, I think the Bills match up well with Denver, particularly on defense. Scoring more points than Peyton, however, is a different story. DEN 27, BUF 24

Chiefs (7-5) @ Cardinals (9-3): Arizona’s at a crossroads right now with Drew Stanton playing inept football and the Seahawks looking to rip back the division from the Card’s grip. Bruce Arians will have to really dumb it down this week as the capable Chiefs come to town. I think the friendly confines of home will be largely beneficial for Arizona and I think they get back on track and squeak one out over the Chiefs this week. John Brown needs another bomb-touchdown. AZ 23, KC 17

49ers (7-5) @ Raiders (1-11): This is a great rivalry in the Bay-Area. These teams unfortunately had to can their yearly preseason face-offs because of violence between the fan bases, which speaks volumes about how much these teams hate each other. I think this is sneakily a tough game for San Fran but they should find a way to win in the end. SF 27, OAK 23

Seahawks (8-4) @ Eagles (9-3): This is the game of the week by any standard. Seattle has retuned to championship form and are pushing to take back their division. The Eagles on the other hand dismantled the Cowboys on Thanksgiving but face a much tougher defense at home this week. This will be a great game but I think Philly needs another big defensive or special teams play to take this game. Seattle’s playing clean football right now. SEA 26, PHI 21

Patriots (9-3) @ Chargers (8-4): San Diego’s hot start has kept them at the front of the Wild Card hunt during their cold October. They’re still only a game behind Denver in the AFC West but it feels like a lot more than that. The Patriots are human after all as they couldn’t figure out Aaron Rodgers in Lambeau. Philip Rivers will need a big game to keep the Chargers in this one but I think New England will be too much to handle on defense. NE 28, SD 24

Falcons (5-7) @ Packers (9-3): Atlanta was able to take advantage of the stumbling Cardinals at home last week, which really isn’t as great of a win as it looks on paper. This will be a game to put the Falcons in their place. GB 45, ATL 23

Jacked Up Picks: Week 13

Posted by Jack Tumen

Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

So far this season, I’m 99-62-1.

Browns (7-4) @ Bills (6-5): Both teams come off wins as they try to keep pace in the AFC playoff hunt. Buffalo gets to be at home for the first time since that epic snow storm hit and should be pumped to get back to business. I think the Bill’s defense is better than the Browns’ offense and Mario Williams is the guy to watch in this one. BUF 28, CLE 20

Chargers (7-4) @ Ravens (7-4): This is a key game as far as the AFC wild card is concerned. San Diego has the misfortune of traveling cross-country for a 1:00 game and that’s always a disadvantage for those west coast teams. I think the Ravens are a better team in general at this point in the season and I like them at home in this one. The Chargers have a tough road ahead of them if they want to make it to January. BAL 29, SD 24

Panthers (3-7-1) @ Vikings (4-7): Carolina comes off the bye as they inexplicably try to keep up in the wretched NFC South. Minnesota was able to keep pace with the Packers last week for a while there and have shown the ability to match their opponent’s play. I think this is a horrible matchup for the Panthers and I see them falling to the Norsemen. MIN 25, CAR 13

Bengals (7-3-1) @ Buccaneers (2-9): Tampa Bay has been a relatively tough outing as of late thanks to the emergence of Mike Evans in that offense. The Bengals seem to be the team that’s taking care of business down the stretch; winners of two straight. It would be hard for the Bucs to pull the upset here – but not impossible. The Bengals are playing good football right now and I think they escape a close one. CIN 21, TB 18

Titans (2-9) @ Texans (5-6): After falling last week, Houston is at a disadvantage as far as making the AFC wild card goes. The Titans have looked like a slightly better team with Zach Mettenberger at the helm but that’s really not saying much. With Ryan Mallet lost for the year, the Texans will turn back to Ryan Fitzpatrick to sling and ding the offense down field. If Arian Foster plays, all should go well for the Texans. HOU 28, TEN 24

Redskins (3-8) @ Colts (7-4): With RGIII finally benched, Colt McCoy gets another shot to play some ball for Jay Gruden. Their team seems to play better when he’s at the helm so there’s some upset appeal here. Pierre Garçon returns to Indy for the first time. The Colts should be just too much to handle, though. IND 27, WAS 20

Giants (3-8) @ Jaguars (1-10): The Giants expended a lot of energy trying to beat Dallas last Sunday night. Obviously, Odell Beckham has arrived, which is always great for any offense. This is an easy place to slip for New York. They’re only two games better than the Jags and Gus Bradley wants another win this season. The Giants are just the better team, though. NYG 27, JAX 17

Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

Saints (4-7) @ Steelers (7-4): Right now, the Saints are hapless and couldn’t win any games during their three game home stand. Pittsburgh comes off the bye and should take care of the Saints at home. PIT 31, NO 24

Raiders (1-10) @ Rams (4-7): Oakland comes off its first win of the season as they travel to St. Louis to take on the capable Rams. Is a winning streak in the cards for Derek Carr and co.? Nah. STL 27, OAK 16

Cardinals (9-2) @ Falcons (4-7): It’s easy to think the Cards could start slumping after their loss to Seattle. Drew Stanton needs to play better and the loss of Carson Palmer was more than apparent. But the Falcons are just as bad as any other NFC South squad this year. The Cardinals are still one of the best teams in the NFL. AZ 28, ATL 23

Patriots (9-2) @ Packers (8-3): The game of the week takes place in Lambeau in what many are calling a Super Bowl preview. Whether is it or it isn’t, this is certainly a game to determine who the elite of the elite are in the NFL. Rodgers has been amazing this month and the Packers have home field advantage at their disposal. But Brady and the Pats have been unstoppable and are in one of their late-season grooves. It’s hard to stop New England right now and I think they get the job done in this primetime showdown. NE 36, GB 28

Broncos (8-3) @ Chiefs (7-4): Kansas City has to be feeling pretty shitty about losing to Oakland last week. Denver pulled out an amazing win over the Dolphins; simply outscoring them pound-for-pound. Denver should be out of its slump and I like the Broncos to continue rolling in KC. DEN 35, KC 24

Dolphins (6-5) @ Jets (2-9): The Jets hit rock bottom against the Bills on Monday in the neutral site game. Miami showed its tenacity by keeping with the Broncos in Denver for the majority of the game. With New York turning back to Geno Smith, who knows what this offense will produce on Monday Night Football. Fins-Jets is always a classic MNF rivalry; but this year the quality of the teams are just too lopsided for me to think New York can play with Miami. MIA 31, NYJ 19

Jacked Up Picks: Week 12

Posted by Jack Tumen

bills-hiring-shovels-snowstorm1

I only went 8-6 last week; but one of my wins was St. Louis over Denver. I’m 86-59 after Thursday.

Bye weeks: Panthers (3-7-1), Steelers (7-4)

Browns (6-4) @ Falcons (4-6): One week, Cleveland’s first place in the AFC North; the next week, they’re on the outside looking in. Josh Gordon’s return is as timely as ever as he gets to warm up with Atlanta’s garbage secondary. The Falcons are inexplicably leading the NFC South at 4-6 as Matt Ryan has been able to get the job done on a two game winning streak. The Browns come off an embarrassing loss at home to Houston; but their division is much tougher and they’re a more seasoned team at this point in the season. Cleveland gets the road win – but not by much. CLE 24, ATL 21

Buccaneers (2-8) @ Bears (4-6): Tampa is somehow still in their divisional race which speaks to the quality of the NFC South this year. Chicago found its feet after grinding out a win last week against the Vikings. They get the friendly confines of home once again; and despite the Bucs’ whipping of the Redskins last week, I’m going with the Bears to take care of business. CHI 26, TB 19

Bengals (6-3-1) @ Texans (5-5): Both teams come off strong road wins. Houston’s still fighting for a wild card spot while Cinci’s trying to tighten it’s grip on the AFC North lead. Ryan Mallet’s first touchdown pass was to none other than J.J. Watt. That’s most likely not Houston’s recipe for success; and if Arian Foster can’t go again, it could be tough for Houston to make big plays against an improving Bengals’ defense. However, I don’t like the matchup in general for Cinci. HOU 26, CIN 24

Lions (7-3) @ Patriots (8-2): What a tough stretch for Detroit. The Lions fell to the well-coached Cardinals on the road and now have to face the well-coached Patriots in Foxborough. This is that time of year when I think the wheels start falling off for the team from the Motor City. Wrong-place-wrong-time for Jim Caldwell and co. NE 35, DET 21

Packers (7-3) @ Vikings (4-6): Divisional games are fairly competitive this time of year. However, it’s hard to fathom that the Vikings could slow down a team as hot as the Packers right now. Home-field could sway a ball or two for Minnesota but don’t expect the big upset to happen here. GB 33, MIN 20

Jaguars (1-9) @ Colts (6-4): After a tough primetime loss to Tom Brady, Andrew Luck gets a nice cushy matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Coming off the bye, they might have a decent game plan to slowing down the Colts’ offense; but stopping them is a different story. IND 28, JAX 13

Titans (2-8) @ Eagles (7-3): Tennessee gave the Steelers their best fight on Monday night; it still wasn’t enough. Philly comes home after Aaron Rodgers did his thing against them and should be ready to rebound as they prepare for death row with Dallas-Seattle-Dallas coming up on the schedule. PHI 29, TEN 20

Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

Rams (4-6) @ Chargers (6-4): San Diego is not a very convincing team at this point of the season. They have a real gut check coming up at home against a Rams team that took care of Peyton Manning and the Broncos last Sunday. I think the Rams put a lot of effort into last week’s win and because of that I’ll give San Diego an unconfident edge at home. SD 27, STL 23

Cardinals (9-1) @ Seahawks (6-4): This game is more-or-less the season for Seattle. A fifth loss puts them at a severe disadvantage in the NFC playoff race and they need this win more than anything. Unfortunately, they have to go through the best team in the NFL to do so. The bright side? They get them at home. After a close loss to KC, Seattle wills themselves to a victory at home to keep their playoff hopes alive. SEA 23, AZ 20

Dolphins (6-4) @ Broncos (7-3): With a tough Miami team coming off a win and with Denver in a bit of a lull, the Dolphins are a popular pick this week. Not so fast. This game is being played in Denver and to be honest, these two teams are on different levels. The Broncos get back on track at home as Miami’s hot streak comes to an end. DEN 28, MIA 20

Redskins (3-7) @ 49ers (6-4): This is a nice soft game for San Fran. Washington just isn’t nearly as physical as the 49ers are and should get stomped. Jay Gruden’s shots at RGIII through the media have been fairly comical. Not that I disagree with anything he’s said. In fact, I completely agree with all of it. He’s in a bad position as a head coach with an injured and babied quarterback and an owner that traded his franchise to get him. SF 27, WAS 6

Cowboys (7-3) @ Giants (3-7): After a week off in which the Eagles failed to get a leg up in the division, Dallas finds themselves a tasty matchup with the Giants. DeMarco Murray and the league’s best rushing attack get to face the league’s worst rushing defense. After tossing five picks last week, there aren’t too many places for Eli Manning to turn at this point in the season. DAL 34, NYG 23

Jets (2-8) @ Bills (5-5) [From Detroit]: This game has been a national story all week. The Bills lost a lot of practice time and after a bad loss to Miami they have to play the Jets who are coming off a bye. With nothing to lose at this point, New York has every advantage they could want in this game – whether it’s practice time or the fact that the game isn’t even in Buffalo. NYJ 20, BUF 16

Ravens (6-4) @ Saints (4-6): The Saints have never lost three straight games at home under Sean Payton. They’ll try to avoid that fate Monday night against a tough Ravens team coming off the bye. A loss for either team puts them behind in their respective divisional races. The Ravens are a better team this year and New Orleans probably doesn’t have the defense to get the job done – but I’m taking Drew Brees to rally the troops in a Monday night thriller. NO 30, BAL 27

Jacked Up Picks: Week 11

Posted by Jack Tumen

Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

It’s time for some good old fashioned November football. Great slate of games this week.

Bye weeks: Ravens (6-4), Cowboys (7-3), Jaguars (1-9), Jets (2-8)

Overall Record: 78-52

Bills (5-4) @ Dolphins (5-4): This is the best matchup at this point in the season between these two divisional foes in recent memory. Kyle Orton has brought some stability to an offense that’s clearly trying to win now. Miami’s playing a tough brand of football at the right time and fell to a better Lions’ team last week in a close one. The fact that Buffalo couldn’t win an important and close game at home last week vs the Chiefs says a lot about the quality of team they are right now. With Fred Jackson still hurting, this offense simply isn’t the same and will struggle against the Dolphins’ stout defense in a low-scoring Thursday Night matchup. MIA 20, BUF 13

Texans (4-5) @ Browns (6-3): Houston comes off the bye to face the NFC North-leading Browns. Yes; the NFC North-leading Browns. Cudos to Mike Pettine, man. I said at the beginning of the season that he was their best hire since Belichick and that’s more than apparent now. I also said how this team didn’t need Johnny Manziel and that’s proven to be correct as well. Brian Hoyer has made every throw and has managed this team to 6-3 behind a heavy rushing attack. This is a true test at home against a feisty Texans team that’s putting faith in Ryan Mallet as their new starter coming off the bye week. Home field plus a great defense is everything that Cleveland could want going against a first time starter in Mallet. J.J. Watt will need to score for Houston to win. CLE 24, HOU 21

Falcons (3-6) @ Panthers (3-6-1): In case you haven’t figured it out yet, the NFC South is total garbage this year. Both of these teams have predictably regressed behind shoddy offensive lines and are struggling to find continuity. If I’m a Panthers’ fan, I’m calling for Ron Rivera’s head for leaving Cam Newton in that Philly game. That’s atrocious decision making. Unless they plan on drafting another franchise QB in the top 10 next year, that’s no way to treat your former no. 1 overall pick who even admitted he hasn’t felt healthy in a long time. Atlanta comes off a road divisional win so I’ll give them another one here. Bad vibes in Carolina right now. ATL 26, CAR 14

Vikings (4-5) @ Bears (3-6): Well, not too many people saw the Vikings sitting above Chicago in the NFC North standings at this point of the season. All the problems the Bears had last year are simply magnified this season: awful defense and poor offensive line play. Minnesota’s been a tough outing this year for anyone that’s had to face them and they come into this game looking to dig the Bears an even deeper grave. I think it’s time that the Bears get one for morale, though. It’s not gonna be pretty; but I think Brandon Marshall breaks out of his slump and finds the end zone multiple times as the Bears will themselves to a win at home. CHI 23, MIN 20

Bengals (5-3-1) @ Saints (4-5): New Orleans nearly got over the hump last week but showed why they’re not ready for primetime by allowing Colin Kaepernick to complete a ridiculous bomb on 4th & 10 to stay alive and ultimately win the game in OT. Cincinnati’s found rock-bottom at the wrong time, mustering all of three points at home against the Browns last Thursday. Andy Dalton continues to show why he didn’t deserve that contract; he plays fine when no one’s looking but in prime time he implodes. This week, however, no one’s looking. CIN 26, NO 24

Broncos (7-2) @ Rams (3-6): This is the perfect, most unsuspecting trap game of the season. Denver’s coming of a whopping win over Oakland as they saunter into St. Louis thinking “piece of cake.” Meanwhile, Shaun Hill gets the nod at starter after the Austin Davis project fails for the Rams. Chris Long returned to practice this week and although he’s not playing in this one, his energy and leadership give St. Louis a jolt. I’ve loved the Rams all year as my upset special and I’m picking them here to pull off a stunner at home. STL 28, DEN 27

Seahawks (6-3) @ Chiefs (6-3): If you are what your record says you are, then these two teams are equals. That’s hard to believe; but Kansas City has quietly crept it’s way into the playoff race and if the season ended today, they would be the 5th seed in the AFC over the likes of Cinci, Baltimore, Pittsburgh and San Diego. They’re really only one game out of first in the division behind Denver and they’ve tip-toed their way through the first 10 weeks without anyone noticing. Now, the defending champs come to town in a battle of the loudest fan bases. I really think the Chiefs have the best home crowd in football and Seattle will have to deal with noise like they’ve never heard before while on offense. I don’t like this matchup for Seattle and I think they lose important ground here in the NFC Wild Card race. Losing Brandon Mebane for the season is a hugely underrated injury as well. KC 29, SEA 23

Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images

Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images

49ers (5-4) @ Giants (3-6): San Fran did what needed to be done to stay alive last week and win an important game on the road vs N’awlins. The Giants simply didn’t have enough fire-power to keep up with Seattle on the road and predictably lost. Coming back east, though, they get Rashad Jennings back from an injury that should bring much-need stability to this offense. I’m super tempted to say the 9ers are primed for a let-down here…so I will. We get the good Eli in this one. NYG 24, SF 20

Buccaneers (1-8) @ Redskins (3-6): Dare I say Tampa was better off with Greg Schiano and Josh Freeman? Let’s be real, this team is fucking pathetic. I don’t know how Lovie Smith didn’t make this team better but besides the fact that Josh McCown and Mike Glennon both stink, they’ve all but swept former first round pick, Doug Martin, under the carpet in favor of Bobby Rainey and Charles Sims. I’m sad and disappointed by this team and I have no faith in picking them this week against a Redskins team that isn’t very good themselves but other-worldly as far as the NFL goes this season. WAS 19, TB 16

Raiders (0-9) @ Chargers (5-4): Yoo hoo, San Diego, it’s time to wake up now. The Chargers have been asleep for a nice long while and after the bye week they might be ready to play. However, this is an underrated rivalry and Oakland plays the Chargers tough every season. They were barely able to beat the Raiders earlier this year and I think Oakland is hungry for some revenge. If there’s any time to get the first win of the season, it’s now. OAK 22, SD 19

Lions (7-2) @ Cardinals (8-1): A marquee matchup takes place in the desert as the Lions try to continue their tear against Bruce Arians and co. Drew Stanton takes the reins as Carson Palmer’s season is over. However, this team didn’t miss a beat when Stanton had to play earlier this season; he loves this system and has proven to have control of the offense. The Lion’s defense will be their biggest test yet – Detroit hasn’t won pretty this year and I’m still not a fan of Jim Caldwell. You can thank Detroit’s success to D.C., Teryl Austin. But the Lions can win a dog fight, man, and I think they get ‘er done in this big-time showdown. DET 26, AZ 23

Eagles (7-2) @ Packers (6-3): This is the biggest test for Philly all season as they march into Green Bay on the shoulders of Mark Sanchez. Aaron Rodgers has been the league MVP in my opinion and I’m personally disappointed Mike McCarthy didn’t let him break the single-game TD record after tossing 6 in the first half against Chicago. Philly’s ace in the hole has been defense and special teams this season. A big punt return here or a big interception return there have been the difference in so many of these games. One thing Mark Sanchez is that Nick Foles isn’t is a cold weather quarterback. Despite both of their west coast ties, Sanchez won some huge games in his time with the Jets in the icy AFC. I told myself I wouldn’t do it, but I’m going with the Eagles to continue making big plays in all phases of the game to upset Rodgers and gain massive ground in the NFC East. Chip’s a genius. PHI 31, GB 27

Patriots (7-2) @ Colts (6-3): This, by all accounts, is the game of the week. Last generation vs new generation. Brady vs Luck. Lots to look for in this game. Both teams come off the bye week, well rested and ready to rock. This is the Patriots team we all expected to see at this point in the season. The games that New England loses are those in which Brady never gets it going. On the road, however, this is a tough matchup for them. Andrew Luck has been everything and more that we expected him to be. We’re in store for a classic battle, but I’m picking Brady to do what needs to be done to win. I think Adam Vinatieri misses a crucial kick against his old team. NE 30, IND 28

Steelers (6-4) @ Titans (2-7): Well, if there’s any way to stop your own train, it’s by losing to the Jets. A fantastic few weeks come to a screeching halt for Pittsburgh, who suddenly find themselves on the outside looking in. I don’t think this game will be a piece of cake, either. Tennessee will rise to the occasion to give it a fight; but I just can’t pick them against Big Ben. Steelers win ugly…very ugly. PIT 20, TEN 17

Jacked Up Picks: Week 10

Posted by Jack Tumen

Bob Levey/Getty Images

Bob Levey/Getty Images

Bye Weeks: Texans (4-5), Colts (6-3), Vikings (4-5), Patriots (7-2), Chargers (5-4), Redskins (3-6)

Overall: 70-48

Chiefs (5-3) @ Bills (5-3): Both of these teams are on even playing fields and have a lot at stake in this game if they hope to keep up with the AFC Wild Card race. KC is a healthier squad right now and I think they have more of an identity than Buffalo; but these Bills never say die. They win a close one at home. BUF 22, KC 19

Titans (2-6) @ Ravens (5-4): Baltimore fell victim to Big Ben on national television but don’t forget there’s still no losing teams in the AFC North. Tennessee is the perfect fallback opponent after a loss like the one Baltimore suffered a week ago. It’s a long season; easy does it. BAL 24, TEN 17

Cowboys (6-3) vs Jaguars (1-8) [London]: Dallas is suddenly in a slump and their franchise quarterback is dealing with a cracked spine. Sounds like fun. Although Romo may play in this one, Jacksonville’s defense is stouter than most give them credit for and playing in London slightly evens the playing field. I see this game taking some weird turns and because of that I’m picking Jacksonville to upset the Cowboys across the pond. JAX 24, DAL 17

Dolphins (5-3) @ Lions (6-2): Miami’s had a nice little run the last few weeks; taking out the Bears in Chicago and blanking San Diego last Sunday. Their defense has stepped up and they get to face off with one of the league’s best in Detroit. A week off plus a healthy Calvin Johnson is a recipe for success if you’re the Lions. Mattthew Stafford’s due for a breakout game. DET 27, MIA 24

49ers (4-4) @ Saints (4-4): Two NFC contenders going in opposite directions meet in this matchup. I’m not sure how San Fran can fix itself but they’ll have a hard time doing it in the Superdome. Drew Brees is heating up right now. NO 28, SF 24

Steelers (6-3) @ Jets (1-8): The hottest quarterback in football takes on the coldest secondary in football. The Jets just have nothing going for them and Pittsburgh is currently rolling. Percy Harvin is certainly being featured nicely in the Jets’ offense but just too little too late for New York. It’ll be about 70% Steeler fans in East Rutherford on Sunday. PIT 26, NYJ 21

Peter Aiken/Getty Images

Peter Aiken/Getty Images

Falcons (2-6) @ Buccaneers (1-7): We’ve got a doozy on our hands, folks. Josh McCown takes over as Tampa’s starting quarterback…again. Remember how last time went against Atlanta? ATL 23, TB 9

Broncos (6-2) @ Raiders (0-8): The records show this is a lop-sided matchup – but this is an underrated rivalry in the AFC West and Oakland hasn’t gone down without a fight in any game this season. Peyton goes into the black hole – dare I say he doesn’t come out? The Broncos haven’t lost to the Raiders since Manning’s been in Denver and it should stay that way – even if it’s by the skin of their teeth. DEN 28, OAK 27

Giants (3-5) @ Seahawks (5-3): This is the perfect game for the Giants to win. It’s that midseason game where they break out of their second slump with a shocking win out of nowhere and win out in November. But I reallyyy just don’t see that happening in Seattle. It would be so Giants of them to pull it off but I’m gonna look the other way on this one. SEA 33, NYG 20

Rams (3-5) @ Cardinals (7-1): St. Louis has been great in the NFC West this year with a 2-1 record and wins over San Francisco and Seattle. Going into Arizona, the Cardinals need to be ready for an underrated opponent. Carson Palmer’s fresh of a three-year extension and I’d be surprised if Jeff Fisher can out-smart Bruce Arians at home. AZ 28, STL 17

Bears (3-5) @ Packers (5-3): If Chicago has any hope of making the playoffs in the NFC, it’ll have to be via an NFC North divisional title. The road there begins Sunday night in Green Bay. The Packers continue to own Chicago and it’s gonna take a revelation to get the Bears to play on Aaron Rodger’s level. Cheese heads are victorious. GB 29, CHI 21

Panthers (3-5-1) @ Eagles (6-2): Philly, say hello to Mark Sanchez. I know him quite well from his days as a Jet and I can assure you you’re in for a roller coaster ride. He’s more than capable of winning games but consistency has always been an issue. If anyone can harness his abilities, though, it’s Chip Kelly. Carolina showed plenty of weaknesses against New Orleans and it’s a great opportunity for the Eagles to get a leg up in the NFC East. Bold prediction: Nick Foles has taken his last snap as the Eagle’s starting quarterback. PHI 31, CAR 22

Jacked Up Picks: Week 9

Posted by Jack Tumen

Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

Slacked a little bit last week going 6-8. I’m 62-43 on the year after New Orleans’ win last night.

Bye weeks: Falcons (2-6), Bills (5-3), Bears (3-5) , Lions (6-2), Packers (5-3), Titans (2-6)

Buccaneers (1-6) @ Browns (4-3): Tampa Bay gave the Vikings all they could handle at home but still came up short in overtime. Mark Barron has been traded and they really look like they’re starting from scratch. Cleveland took care of business, beating Oakland at home in a not-so-pretty game and I expect much of the same this week with a conservative game plan that we’ve grown accustomed to seeing from the Browns. Josh Gordon’s only a week away, though. CLE 24, TB 12

Jaguars (1-7) @ Bengals (4-2-1): Jacksonville came back to earth last week as Blake Bortles surrendered two pick-sixes. He now leads the league with 12 INTs and the Bengals defense is finding its footing again. Going into Cinci, there’s not much appeal for the Jaguars here – even if the Bengals are missing A.J. Green and Gio Bernard. CIN 32, JAX 17

Cardinals (6-1) @ Cowboys (6-2): Well, this is certainly the game of the year at this point of the season. ‘Zona’s defense managed to keep Chip Kelly’s offense in check and made some huge plays to pull off a massive win at home. Dallas comes off a depleting loss to the lowly Redskins. Washington blitzed the lights out and Dallas didn’t handle it well; Arizona loves to do the same. A win here cements the Cards as the best team in the NFC – and that they are. AZ 26, DAL 24

Eagles (5-2) @ Texans (4-4): Houston’s done what it’s needed to do to win games this season as Bill O’Brien has his team at .500. Philly gave everything it had against the Cards but were just inches away from Jordan Matthews coming down with the game winner. This is a major trap game for the Eagles as they try to keep pace with Dallas in the division race. I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt this week but Houston will come to play and will make it close. PHI 31, HOU 27

Jets (1-7) @ Chiefs (4-3): The Jets are a mess and a half. Michael Vick takes over the reigns as the starter this week and will get a chance to show what he’s got left in the tank against a tough Chiefs’ defense that will have the loudest stadium in the NFL behind them. There aren’t many scenarios in which the Jets win this week. KC 30, NYJ 16

Chargers (5-3) @ Dolphins (4-3): San Diego comes out east for a 1:00 kick off after a long break. Miami’s been playing a tough brand of football on defense and pose a challenge for Philip Rivers and co.. Like I said before, it’s that time of year where the Chargers slump a bit. I think Miami get’s a W at home at San Diego’s hot start becomes a thing of the past. MIA 20, SD 17

Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Redskins (3-5) @ Vikings (3-5): This isn’t the most enticing matchup of the weekend; but RGIII is making is first start since being injured (again) so it’s a relevant story line. How will it pan out, though? Both defenses are practically identical, statistically. This might sound ridiculous, but I’m predicting a tie. MIN 21, WAS 21

Rams (2-5) @ 49ers (4-3): St. Louis put up a fight against San Fran just a couple weeks back on Monday Night Football but were outplayed through four quarters. Going to the Bay this time around doesn’t help their cause. The better team wins at home. SF 28, STL 18

Broncos (6-1) @ Patriots (6-2): Manning-Brady XVI – need I say more? Possibly the last time we see these two go head to head in one of the greatest individual rivalries football has ever seen. Denver’s had a nice long week to prep for New England’s upstart offense. The Patriots are missing some key players on defense in Chandler Jones and Jerrod Mayo and that doesn’t help their cause against the league’s most dangerous offense. The Pats will give it a fight but Denver is healthier at this point in the season and that makes the difference on Sunday in Foxborough. DEN 27, NE 24

Raiders (0-7) @ Seahawks (4-3): Seattle hasn’t looked pretty over the last few weeks; but I’ll be damned if they let their guard down against the winless Raiders. Oakland’s a trendy trap pick but the Seahawks have never been more focused than they are right now. Oakland gets annihilated. SEA 43, OAK 10

Ravens (5-3) @ Steelers (5-3): As if these two teams needed any more reason to knock the snot out of each other on Sunday – this ones for first place in the NFC North. Baltimore comes off the close road loss to Cinci while Big Ben can only go down after tossing six TDs in a record setting performance against Indy. Pittsburgh’s offense has been clicking with the emergence of Martavis Bryant as a deep threat. It would make sense to take the Steelers at home in this one with all the momentum in the world; but I picked the Ravens to win this division for a reason. BAL 23, PIT 20

Colts (5-3) @ Giants (3-4): Andrew Luck just can’t score 51 points every week – but he wont need to against the Giants on Monday Night Football. Rashad Jennings is still out for New York and as long as that’s the case they lose their stability on offense that Andre Williams simply cant replicate. Colts roll. IND 31, NYG 18